Sunday's Primeira Liga predictions including Braga vs. Arouca

By Barney Corkhill, Editor | 08 May 2022

Sports Mole provides score predictions and previews for all of today's Primeira Liga fixtures, including Braga vs. Arouca.

Gil Vicente vs. Tondela (Sunday, 3.30pm)

Gil Vicente's Fran Navarro celebrates scoring their first goal with Pedrinho on May 1, 2022 © Reuters

The Portuguese Primeira Liga returns with a fresh set of fixtures as Gil Vicente and Tondela go head to head at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos on Sunday.

The Gilistas will be looking to end their six-game winless run and complete a league double over the visitors after claiming a 3-0 victory back in December's reverse fixture.

We say: Gil Vicente 1-1 Tondela

Gil Vicente and Tondela will head into the game seeking a morale-boosting result having both struggled for form in recent weeks. While the visitors need a win to keep their survival hopes alive, they are winless in each of their three visits to the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos and we predict this trend will continue with the Gilistas holding out for a share of the spoils.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw has a probability of 21% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline is Gil Vicente 1-0 Tondela with a probability of 11.12% and the second most likely scoreline is Gil Vicente 2-0 Tondela with a probability of 11.06%.

Our tipster partners are predicting under 3.5 goals.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match

Vizela vs. Maritimo (Sunday, 3.30pm)

Vizela's Cassiano celebrates scoring their first goal with Samu on March 11, 2022 © Reuters

Seeking to pick up consecutive home victories in the Primeira Liga for the first time this season, Vizela lock horns with Maritimo at the Estadio do FC Vizela on Sunday.

O Maior das Ilhas, meanwhile, will be looking to complete a first league double over the hosts after claiming a 2-0 victory back in December's reverse fixture.

We say: Vizela 1-1 Maritimo

While a win will secure Vizela's survival, a draw could see them move six points above 16th-places Tondela in the relegation playoff spot. Maritimo are also in a heated race for a top-half finish this season and we expect them to take the game to the hosts. We predict the sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a point apiece.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vizela win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Maritimo has a probability of 32.21% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline is Vizela 1-1 Maritimo with a probability of 12.69% and the second most likely scoreline is Vizela 1-0 Maritimo with a probability of 10.86%.

Our tipster partners are predicting under 3.5 goals.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match

Braga vs. Arouca (Sunday, 6.00pm)

Braga coach Carlos Carvalhal reacts on April 14, 2022 © Reuters

Arouca will be looking to make it two wins for the first time this season and steer clear of the relegation zone when they square off against Braga at the Estadio Braga Municipal on Sunday.

Os Arcebispos, on the other hand, head into the game unbeaten in each of their last six Primeira Liga outings and will look to keep the juggernaut rolling as the season draws to a close.

We say: Braga 1-1 Arouca

Fourth-placed Braga will be playing only for pride having already secured their places in next season's Conference League. Buoyed by their victory over Portimonense, we are backing Arouca to build on that performance and force a share of the spoils on Sunday to keep their survival hopes alive. Ojele Joshua

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline is Braga 1-0 Arouca with a probability of 11.74% and the second most likely scoreline is Braga 2-0 Arouca with a probability of 11.04%.

Our tipster partners are predicting over 1.5 goals.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match

Santa Clara vs. Pacos de Ferreira (Sunday, 8.30pm)

Santa Clara's Mohammad Mohebbi celebrates scoring their first goal with Rui Costa on February 12, 2022 © Reuters

Two sides separated by just one point and two places in the top half of the Primeira Liga standings go head to head when Santa Clara and Pacos de Ferreira square off at the Estadio de Sao Miguel on Sunday.

The visitors will head into the game seeking to complete a first-ever league double over Os Acoreanos after claiming a 2-1 victory when the sides met back in December's reverse fixture.

We say: Santa Clara 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Santa Clara head into the weekend unbeaten at home since the start of December and will be backing themselves to keep this fine run going as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side. While we expect the Pacenses to put up a fight, we predict Santa Clara will come away with all three points in this one.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira has a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline is Santa Clara 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira with a probability of 11.31% and the second most likely scoreline is Santa Clara 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira with a probability of 11.22%.

Our tipster partners are predicting over 1.5 goals.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match