Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
0 - 2
Marseille

Gacinovic (28'), Ponce (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbemba (25'), Sarr (90+3')
Oliveira (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Athens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Kifisia 1-1 AEK Athens
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Marseille 0-0 Lille
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AEK Athens 0-1 Marseille

High-scoring, end-to-end encounters have been commonplace in Europa League Group E so far, but we can envisage a more low-key affair in Athens, particularly given Marseille's troubles in the final third domestically. Almeyda's side do not tend to concede many goals either, but with several attacking stars primed to make an impact off the bench, we expect Gattuso's men to make the long journey worthwhile. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Marseille
39.4%	24.97%	35.63%

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

-0)

45.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06% (

-0)

67.94%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

-0)

22.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.21% (

-0)

56.79%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

-0)

25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

-0)

59.66%

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 39.4%

Marseille 35.63%

Draw 24.96%

AEK Athens	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.61% 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.4%	1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.63%