La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 21, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
4 - 3
Sevilla

Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 14 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Man City 1-1 Sevilla (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla will have been encouraged by their performance against Man City last time out, and they will be desperate to bounce back from their opening-weekend loss in La Liga. Alaves are capable of making this a very tough match for Sevilla, but we are backing the visitors to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
40.85% ( 1.09)	27.85% ( 0.56)	31.3% ( -1.65)

Both teams to score 47.43% (

-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.66% (

-2.48)

58.34% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04% (

-1.98)

78.96% (

1.98)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

-0.57)

28.04% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

-0.73)

63.7% (

0.73)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

-2.44)

34.09% (

2.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22% (

-2.71)

70.77% (

2.71)

Score Analysis

Alaves 40.84%

Sevilla 31.29%

Draw 27.86%

Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.92) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.84%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.29%