Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Air Albania Stadium

Albania
3 - 0
Czech Republic

Asani (9'), Sulejmanov (51', 73')
Bajrami (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chytil (25'), Coufal (40'), Provod (62')
Chytil (39')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Albania and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Albania 2-0 Poland
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	5	5	10
2	Czech Republic	4	5	8
3	Moldova	5	0	8
4	Poland	5	-2	6
5	Faroe Islands	5	-8	1

Czech Republic

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Czech Republic
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	5	5	10
2	Czech Republic	4	5	8
3	Moldova	5	0	8
4	Poland	5	-2	6
5	Faroe Islands	5	-8	1

We said: Albania 1-1 Czech Republic

Albania have surpassed expectations in their Euro 2024 qualifiers up to this point, and they could take a huge step towards booking their place in the tournament with a victory on Thursday night. However, the two nations looked very evenly-matched in the reverse fixture, so we are expecting another draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 34.94%. A win for Albania had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-0 (13.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Albania	Draw	Czech Republic
34.62% ( 0.03)	30.45% ( -0.01)	34.94% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 40.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.53% (

0.01)

66.47% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.09% (

0.01)

84.91% (

-0.01)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

0.02)

36.1% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

0.03)

72.88% (

-0.03)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

-0.01)

35.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.35% (

-0.01)

72.65% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Albania 34.61%

Czech Republic 34.93%

Draw 30.43%

Albania	Draw	Czech Republic
1-0 @ 13.19% 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.43%	0-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.02% Total : 34.93%