Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 12

Oct 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Lotto Park

Anderlecht
5 - 1
Leuven

Dreyer (12', 42', 86'), Dolberg (47'), Stroeykens (52')
Sardella (14'), Vanhemel (44')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Misao (6')
Schingtienne (28'), Riemer (42')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Anderlecht and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions

Last Game: Standard Liege 3-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leuven

All competitions

Last Game: Leuven 4-0 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, October 22 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
Anderlecht	Draw	Leuven
54.42% ( 0.03)	22.14% ( -0.01)	23.44% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.56% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33% (

0.02)

39.67% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98% (

0.02)

62.02% (

-0.02)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

0.01)

14.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.37% (

0.03)

42.63% (

-0.03)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-0.01)

30.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

-0.02)

66.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Anderlecht 54.42%

Leuven 23.44%

Draw 22.13%

Anderlecht	Draw	Leuven
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 54.42%	1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.44%