A few days on from falling short against one South American opponent in Brazil, lightning should strike twice for Nigeria on Wednesday, as Argentina continue their quest for world domination. Mascherano may not be able to call upon a teenage Messi - as was the case for Argentina 18 years ago - but the home nation's current proteges can emulate their icon's goalscoring feats to help their side to a straightforward last-16 success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina Under-20s win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nigeria Under-20s had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nigeria Under-20s win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Argentina Under-20s	Draw	Nigeria Under-20s
52.2% ( -0.33)	25.01% ( 0.23)	22.78% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

-0.79)

52.69% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

-0.68)

74.33% (

0.68)

Argentina Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

-0.44)

20.17% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.53% (

-0.71)

52.47% (

0.71)

Nigeria Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92% (

-0.35)

38.08% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.15% (

-0.34)

74.84% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Argentina Under-20s 52.2%

Nigeria Under-20s 22.78%

Draw 25.01%

Argentina Under-20s	Draw	Nigeria Under-20s
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 52.2%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.78%