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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Liverpool logo

Arsenal
3 - 1
Liverpool

Saka (14'), Martinelli (67'), Trossard (90+2')
White (31'), Magalhaes (57'), Kiwior (69'), Havertz (90+5'), Rice (90+4'), Saliba (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magalhaes (45+3' og.)
Gomez (25'), Konate (55'), Nunez (90')
Konate (88')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal blow the Premier League title race wide open with a 3-1 win over 10-man Liverpool in a game of three defensive calamities.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with title rivals Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Arsenal
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
51.29% (1.494 1.49) 21.71% (-0.169 -0.17) 27% (-1.33 -1.33)
Both teams to score 65.09% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.91% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)34.09% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.03% (-0.26 -0.26)55.96% (0.256 0.26)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.39400000000001 0.39)13.63% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.2% (0.785 0.79)40.8% (-0.79 -0.79)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)24.62% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-1.395 -1.4)59.13% (1.39 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 51.29%
    Liverpool 27%
    Draw 21.71%
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.114 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.149 0.15)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.067 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal
27.3%
Draw
15.3%
Liverpool
57.4%
652
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 4.30pm
Third Round
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool

Saliba (65')
Kiwior (80' og.), Diaz (90+5')
Elliott (70'), Gravenberch (90'), Clark (90+1'), Alexander-Arnold (90+4')
Dec 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
Salah (29')
Endo (45+3'), Salah (84')
Magalhaes (4')
Saka (38'), Havertz (45+4'), Rice (49'), Nketiah (86'), White (90+1')
Apr 9, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Salah (42'), Firmino (87')
Martinelli (8'), Jesus (28')
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal
3-2
Liverpool
Martinelli (1'), Saka (45+5', 76' pen.)
Nunez (34'), Firmino (53')
Mar 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool
Jota (54'), Firmino (62')
Firmino (63')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
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Sunday, June 16
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
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Thursday, June 20
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Monday, June 24
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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