Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 0
Brest

Zakaria (16'), Golovin (69')
Golovin (62'), Fofana (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Locko (8'), Roy (33'), Brassier (62'), Lees-Melou (67')
Brassier (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Monaco
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-3 PSG
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

An injury-hit Monaco backline could be there for the taking this weekend, and having come so close yet so far to stealing a point off of PSG, Brest can feel confident of troubling Monaco in a similar vein. However, any similar defensive lapses akin to the opening 30 minutes against the champions could prove fatal for Les Pirates, who will likely struggle to fight Monaco's fire with as much fire in a third successive defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Brest
53.2% ( 0)	23.29% ( -0)	23.52%

Both teams to score 55.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

44.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

67.17% (

-0)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.19%

16.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.21%

46.79% (

-0)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96%

33.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37%

69.63%

Score Analysis

Monaco 53.2%

Brest 23.52%

Draw 23.28%

Monaco	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.2%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.52%