Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham

Robinson (27' og.), McGinn (42'), Watkins (64')
Watkins (66'), Konsa (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jimenez (70')
Palhinha (52'), Robinson (64'), Iwobi (74'), Reed (90+6'), Vinicius (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa move onto 25 points from 12 Premier League matches this season courtesy of a 3-1 win over Fulham on Sunday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 AZ
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
63.36% ( 0.96)	19.87% ( -0.15)	16.77% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

-0.8)

38.91% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.77% (

-0.85)

61.22% (

0.84)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31% (

0.02)

11.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.22% (

0.05)

36.77% (

-0.05)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.55% (

-1.43)

36.44% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

-1.47)

73.23% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 63.36%

Fulham 16.77%

Draw 19.87%

Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.06% Total : 63.36%	1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.87%	1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.77%