Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 1Legia
The Match
Match Report
Alex Moreno scores the winner in his first match for six months as Aston Villa beat Legia Warsaw 2-1 in the Europa Conference League.
Team News
Unai Emery names a much-changed Aston Villa XI for Thursday's Europa Conference League tie with Legia Warsaw.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Legia 2-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, November 25 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, November 25 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.29%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 21.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
57.29% ( 8.78) | 21.14% ( -2.03) | 21.56% ( -6.75) |
Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.73% ( 2.9) | 37.27% ( -2.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.52% ( 3.06) | 59.48% ( -3.06) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.11% ( 3.92) | 12.88% ( -3.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.71% ( 7.49) | 39.28% ( -7.49) |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( -3.68) | 30.56% ( 3.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.21% ( -4.6) | 66.79% ( 4.6) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 57.29%
Legia Warsaw 21.57%
Draw 21.14%
Aston Villa | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 1.08) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 1.08) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 1.38) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.93) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.99) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.39) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.51) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.51) Other @ 3.9% Total : 57.29% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -1.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.58) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -1.28) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -1.27) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -1.13) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.81) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.61) Other @ 2.83% Total : 21.57% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Legia
Aston Villa
80.0%Draw
11.1%Legia Warsaw
8.9%90
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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