Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Tietz (17'), Bornauw (79' og.), Engels (81')
Gouweleeuw (45+5'), Pedersen (45+5'), Rexhbecaj (73'), Uduokhai (84'), Beljo (85')
Uduokhai (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Wind (35'), Majer (45' pen.)
Maehle (6'), Tomas (66'), Arnold (73'), Bornauw (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-5 Augsburg
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg

Augsburg's comeback against Heidenheim last weekend is likely to have provided them with renewed confidence after making a slow start under Thorup, but injuries continue to plague them. As such, we would be surprised if Wolfsburg fall to a third successive defeat, but they may have to settle for a well-earned point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
39.43% ( -1.1)	23.92% ( -0.12)	36.65% ( 1.22)

Both teams to score 61.74% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5% (

0.73)

40.5% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12% (

0.74)

62.88% (

-0.74)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

-0.2)

20.74% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64% (

-0.32)

53.36% (

0.32)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89% (

0.97)

22.11% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.52% (

1.45)

55.48% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 39.43%

Wolfsburg 36.65%

Draw 23.91%

Augsburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.43%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65%