Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Austria
6 - 1
Turkey

Schlager (2'), Gregoritsch (44', 48', 59' pen.), Baumgartner (78' pen.), Entrup (90+5')
Schlager (74'), Posch (80')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Calhanoglu (25' pen.)
Calhanoglu (31'), Guler (74'), Kokcu (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Austria and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Slovakia 0-2 Austria
Saturday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Turkey

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Turkey
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Following a resounding success in Slovakia, Austria will be confident of making it back-to-back March victories on home soil against Turkey. The Crescent Stars have struggled on the road recently, so we are expecting successive defeats for Montella's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
Austria	Draw	Turkey
43.09% ( -0.17)	24.52% ( 0.07)	32.39% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 58.47% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-0.3)

44.3% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32% (

-0.3)

66.68% (

0.3)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33% (

-0.2)

20.66% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

-0.32)

53.25% (

0.32)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

-0.09)

26.29% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58% (

-0.12)

61.41% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Austria 43.09%

Turkey 32.39%

Draw 24.51%

Austria	Draw	Turkey
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.39%