Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
4 - 1
Almere City

Pavlidis (7', 90+2'), de Wit (66'), Moller Wolfe (80')
Moller Wolfe (88'), Clasie (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mbe Soh (56')
van Bruggen (23'), Jacobs (64'), Resink (73'), Kitala (81'), Floranus (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Almere City

AZ Alkmaar hit a bump in the road last time out, but we can see them serving up an immediate response with a comfortable win this time around, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Almere City
80.65% ( -0.16)	12.99% ( 0.13)	6.37% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 43.42% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.12% (

-0.57)

35.88% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.03% (

-0.63)

57.97% (

0.64)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.11% (

-0.15)

6.89% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.68% (

-0.41)

25.33% (

0.41)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.63% (

-0.34)

53.37% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.12% (

-0.22)

86.88% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 80.64%

Almere City 6.37%

Draw 12.99%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Almere City
2-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.78% Total : 80.64%	1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 12.99%	0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 6.37%