Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
5 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Clasie (4'), Pavlidis (15'), van Bommel (51'), de Wit (87' pen.), Lahdo (90+3')
de Wit (16'), Hatzidiakos (65')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rommens (66')
Amofa (2'), Nauber (34'), Deijl (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar amassed 27 more points than Go Ahead Eagles last season, and they have a very impressive recent record against their opponents, winning the last five matches on the spin. As such, we expect Jansen's side to record a comfortable victory on Sunday afternoon, kicking off their Eredivisie campaign in perfect fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
60.16% ( -1.6)	20.64% ( 0.26)	19.2% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 58.33% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.68% (

0.96)

38.31% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.4% (

1.02)

60.59% (

-1.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

-0.16)

12.39% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.73% (

-0.32)

38.26% (

0.31)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

1.99)

33.41% (

-2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

2.12)

70.04% (

-2.13)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.16%

Go Ahead Eagles 19.2%

Draw 20.64%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.92% Total : 60.16%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.64%	1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.2%