Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
1 - 2
PSV

Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 3-3 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 PSV Eindhoven

Given the stakes of this weekend's clash, we anticipate a cagey affair with the two sides taking a cautious approach to the game. We predict that AZ and PSV will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
39.29% ( -4.05)	23.79% ( 0.58)	36.92% ( 3.48)

Both teams to score 62.24% (

-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.14% (

-2.12)

39.86% (

2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.78% (

-2.23)

62.21% (

2.23)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-2.66)

20.53% (

2.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

-4.4)

53.03% (

4.4)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

0.86)

21.68% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17% (

1.3)

54.83% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 39.29%

PSV Eindhoven 36.92%

Draw 23.79%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.48) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.42) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.31) Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.29%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.8) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.92%