Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
5 - 0
Antwerp

Felix (11', 66'), Lewandowski (19'), Bataille (22' og.), Gavi (54')
Gavi (36')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Betis
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Royal Antwerp

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Westerlo 0-3 Antwerp
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barcelona 3-0 Royal Antwerp

Barcelona were excellent on Saturday, and it is very difficult to imagine Antwerp picking up a positive result in this match. Whether the Belgian side are able to make an impression in the group will not depend on Tuesday's game, which is their hardest in the section on paper, and we are expecting them to lose comfortably here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Royal Antwerp
57.52% ( -0)	23.49% ( -0)	18.99%

Both teams to score 48.59% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.94%

51.05% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

72.91% (

-0)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

-0)

17.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.97% (

-0)

48.03% (

-0)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.91%

41.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37% (

77.63% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 57.51%

Royal Antwerp 18.99%

Draw 23.49%

Barcelona	Draw	Royal Antwerp
1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.51%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.99%