Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Concarneau
41.45% ( 0.15)	28.78% ( 0.02)	29.76% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 44.3% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.03% (

-0.11)

61.97% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.28% (

-0.08)

81.71% (

0.08)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55% (

0.03)

29.45% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

0.04)

65.45% (

-0.04)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

-0.19)

37.2% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.19)

73.98% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Bastia 41.45%

Concarneau 29.76%

Draw 28.77%

Bastia	Draw	Concarneau
1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.45%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.77%	0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 29.76%