Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Dortmund

Okoh Boniface (79')
Frimpong (12'), Palacios (74'), Odilon (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ryerson (5')
Hummels (77'), Wolf (90+1')

Arsenal, Liverpool 'send scouts to watch Jeremie Frimpong'

Arsenal and Liverpool reportedly both scout Bayer Leverkusen defender Jeremie Frimpong, with the Premier League duo interested in his services.

Dec 6, 15:21

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Borussia Dortmund

There is little doubt that this match is the stand-out game of the weekend in the Bundesliga, with both teams desperate for all three points for different reasons. Leverkusen will need to win to return to the top of the table should Bayern defeat Union Berlin as expected, while Dortmund must close the gap on their opponents. Despite Dortmund's hugely positive week, Leverkusen are playing at a higher level at the moment, and we can envisage them coming out on top in what could be a classic encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.75%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
57.75% ( 3.81)	20.33% ( -0.37)	21.92% ( -3.45)

Both teams to score 64.07% (

-3.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.14% (

-2.23)

32.85% (

2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.44% (

-2.62)

54.55% (

2.61)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.65% (

0.32)

11.35% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.96% (

0.69)

36.04% (

-0.69)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

-3.85)

27.73% (

3.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

-5.22)

63.3% (

5.21)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 57.75%

Borussia Dortmund 21.92%

Draw 20.33%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 1.02) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.86) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.8) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.22) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.97% Total : 57.75%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.51) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.26) Other @ 3.53% Total : 21.92%