Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Schick (30' pen., 32', 45+1'), Okoh Boniface (69')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Masovic (39'), Schlotterbeck (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum

Leverkusen have been ruthless at home, scoring plenty of goals and putting weaker sides to the sword, and this should be no exception, going into the winter break four points clear. Bochum have not scored a goal here since coming back up, and even if they were to break that duck, they are unlikely to be able to keep Leverkusen's fearsome attack quiet in what could be a long evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	VfL Bochum
81.38% ( -0.18)	11.75% ( 0.06)	6.87% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.61% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.48% (

0.18)

26.52% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.11% (

0.23)

46.88% (

-0.23)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.1% (

4.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.34% (

0.01)

19.66% (

-0.02)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.32% (

0.46)

44.68% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.32% (

0.37)

80.68% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 81.38%

VfL Bochum 6.87%

Draw 11.75%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	VfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.57% Total : 81.38%	1-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.02% Total : 11.75%	1-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 6.87%