Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 2

Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 1
Augsburg

Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 4-4 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Augsburg

Augsburg appeared wide open defensively during their draw against Gladbach, with the likes of Kane, Sane and Kingsley Coman likely to be licking their lips at the prospect of coming up against them this weekend. Although the loss of Musiala through injury could have a minor impact on the hosts' offensive fluidity, we still expect them to ease to a heavy victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Augsburg
74.15% ( -0.04)	14.56% ( 0.02)	11.29% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.42% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.61% (

-0.01)

25.39% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.58% (

-0.02)

45.42% (

0.02)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.15% (

-0.01)

5.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.54% (

-0.03)

22.46% (

0.03)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.24% (

0.03)

34.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.51% (

0.03)

71.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 74.16%

Augsburg 11.29%

Draw 14.56%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.07% 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 4.59% Total : 74.16%	1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 14.56%	1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.29%