Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
6 - 1
Vizela

Neres (16', 45+1'), Otamendi (25'), Gouveia (30'), Silva (45+4'), Leonardo (88')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Essende (48')
Costa (40'), Anderson (52'), Essende (59'), Busnic (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Vizela
Tuesday, February 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica have been superb at Estadio da Luz this season and now face an opponent that are in the midst of the relegation scrap. The Eagles are unbeaten in their last five matches against Vizela and we fancy they will extend that record with a comfortable victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Vizela
76.74% ( 1.07)	15.24% ( -0.43)	8.02% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.7% (

-0.25)

40.3% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.33% (

-0.26)

62.67% (

0.26)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.26% (

0.18)

8.74% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.97% (

0.45)

30.03% (

-0.46)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48% (

-1.68)

52% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.99% (

-1.12)

86% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Benfica 76.72%

Vizela 8.02%

Draw 15.24%

Benfica	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.72%	1-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.24%	0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.71% Total : 8.02%