Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
Frosinone

Ferguson (19'), De Silvestri (22')
Aebischer (59'), Zirkzee (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Soule (63' pen.)
Mazzitelli (87')
Mazzitelli (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone

As Frosinone have scored only once in their away fixtures so far, it is some fine home form that has seen them occupy a spot in Serie A's top half. On the road they have proved more vulnerable, so Bologna can pick up maximum points and leapfrog their visitors in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Frosinone
42.12% ( 0.01)	27.02% ( -0)	30.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.62%

55.37% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42%

76.58% (

-0)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

0.01)

25.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

0.01)

60.98% (

-0.01)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

-0.01)

32.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

-0.01)

69.42% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bologna 42.12%

Frosinone 30.86%

Draw 27.02%

Bologna	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.86%