Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Dec 7, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Le Douaron (44')
Magnetti (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Emegha (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 3-0 Clermont
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest have taken care of business against weaker opponents, but we believe Strasbourg are stronger than their current form might indicate. Vieira is a resourceful manager who is capable of turning around a bad situation, and we believe his players will adapt to his style soon, while continuing their strong play in Brittany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
49.27% ( -0.37)	25.41% ( 0.12)	25.31% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 50.86% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.88% (

-0.3)

52.12% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.16% (

-0.26)

73.84% (

0.26)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

-0.28)

21.17% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96% (

-0.43)

54.03% (

0.43)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.52% (

0.04)

35.47% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.76% (

0.04)

72.23% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Brest 49.26%

Strasbourg 25.31%

Draw 25.41%

Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.26%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 25.31%