Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
2 - 0
Ajax

Pedro (42'), Fati (53')
Mitoma (22'), Paul van Hecke (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberto De Zerbi, Ansu Fati, Joao Pedro react to Brighton & Hove Albion's first-ever European win

Roberto De Zerbi, Ansu Fati and Joao Pedro all react after Brighton & Hove Albion beat Ajax 2-0 to claim their first-ever European victory in the Europa League.

Oct 26, 23:37

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Ajax 2-0 at the Amex Stadium to claim their first-ever victory in European competition.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Utrecht 4-3 Ajax
Sunday, October 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 38.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.93%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Ajax
38.53% ( -0.06)	21.51% ( 0.01)	39.96% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 71.4% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.95% (

-0.05)

28.05% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.19% (

-0.06)

48.81% (

0.06)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23% (

-0.04)

15.77% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.09% (

-0.08)

44.91% (

0.08)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0)

15.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12% (

-0.01)

43.88% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 38.53%

Ajax 39.96%

Draw 21.51%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.55% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 4.14% Total : 39.96%