Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 7, 2024 at 5pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 1
Atalanta

Augello (42'), Viola (88')
Deiola (66'), Toloi (73'), Nandez (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Scamacca (13')
de Roon (54'), Zappacosta (63'), Luvumbo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Atalanta BC

These clubs have not drawn any of their last Serie A 17 meetings, and that streak could continue on Sunday evening, when Atalanta should return to base with maximum points. Their varied attack can exploit Cagliari's dubious defence, though it will be far from a straightforward mission. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Atalanta BC
36.08% ( 0.08)	27.1% ( 0.04)	36.82% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

-0.15)

54.76% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

-0.13)

76.07% (

0.12)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.02)

29.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

-0.03)

65% (

0.03)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

-0.15)

28.64% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

-0.18)

64.45% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 36.07%

Atalanta BC 36.81%

Draw 27.09%

Cagliari	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.07%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.81%