KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals

Feb 27, 2024 at 7pm UK

Cambuurstadion

Cambuur
1 - 2
Nijmegen

Uldrikis (24')
Breij (87'), van Mullem (98'), Pichel (110'), Sylla (120+2')

FT
(aet)

Ogawa (60'), Sano (99')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between Cambuur and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambuur

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Cambuur
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Neither side have been solid at the back of late, so we expect a highly-entertaining affair with chances at both ends. That said, we are backing the visitors to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.52%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NEC in this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	NEC
52.95% ( 0.03)	20.4% ( -0)	26.65% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 69.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.11% (

-0.02)

27.88% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.4% (

-0.03)

48.6% (

0.03)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.98% (

11.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.67%

35.33% (

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

-0.03)

21.56% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

-0.04)

54.65% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 52.95%

NEC 26.65%

Draw 20.4%

Cambuur	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.4%	1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.65%