Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
2 - 2
Atletico

Furuhashi (4'), Palma (28')
Carter-Vickers (30'), Palma (51'), Taylor (59')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Griezmann (25'), Morata (53')
De Paul (34'), Galan (38'), Molina (45+4'), Savic (82')
De Paul (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Hearts 1-4 Celtic
Sunday, October 22 at 2.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celtic 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Failure to win in the Italian capital on matchday one means Atletico are winless in their last five Champions League group stage away games, but their recent form suggests they can end that run here. Celtic have lost both of their opening games, and despite good form domestically, this will likely be a difficult evening, and their 10-year wait for a home win in this competition may go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Atletico Madrid
48.17% ( -0.38)	24.06% ( 0.13)	27.77% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36% (

-0.39)

44.64% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33% (

-0.37)

67% (

0.38)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0.3)

18.65% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03% (

-0.51)

49.97% (

0.51)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.01)

29.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

-0.02)

65.58% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Celtic 48.17%

Atletico Madrid 27.77%

Draw 24.06%

Celtic	Draw	Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.17%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 27.77%