Chelsea

1 - 0

Fulham

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 71.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.