Crystal Palace

1 - 3

Chelsea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.