Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb4 - 0Astana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Hajduk Split
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Astana
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
1 | Osijek | 12 | 6.00 | Bukvic |
2 | Rijeka | 4 | 4.00 | Jankovic |
3 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2.00 | Livaja |
4 | Slaven Koprivnica | 2 | 1.00 | Crnac |
5 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1.00 | Petkovic |
6 | Gorica | 1 | 1.00 | Vujnovic |
7 | Istra 1961 | 1 | 1.00 | Erceg |
8 | NK Lokomotiva | 1 | 1.00 | Bubanja |
9 | Varazdin | 1 | 1.00 | Brodic |
10 | Rudeš | 0 | 0.00 |
We said: Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 Astana
Dinamo Zagreb will be aiming to provide themselves with some breathing space ahead of making the lengthy journey to Kazakhstan for the second leg of this tie next week. There is little doubt that the Croatians have much more individual quality than Astana, and we can envisage them winning by a couple of goals to increase their chances of making it through to the third round of qualifying. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Astana had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
Result | ||
Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
56.84% ( 0.02) | 23.14% | 20.02% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.72% ( -0.01) | 48.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.57% ( -0.01) | 70.43% ( 0.02) |
Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.24% ( 0) | 16.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.3% ( 0) | 46.71% |
Astana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.65% ( -0.02) | 38.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( -0.02) | 75.11% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Dinamo Zagreb 56.83%
Astana 20.02%
Draw 23.14%
Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.02% |
How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs Astana
Dinamo Zagreb
80.5%Draw
4.9%Astana
14.6%41
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2018 7pm
Aug 7, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 11:06:38
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1
Chelsea 'make decision' on Colwill future amid Bayern interest
2
More than half of Man Utd fans think Marcus Rashford should leave, while 89% want Casemiro out
3
Czech Republic Euro 2024 squad: Who makes the cut? Which stars have missed out?
4
Majority of Man United fans want Ten Hag to stay at Old Trafford
5
Sesko signs new Leipzig deal after snubbing PL giants
6
Chelsea's Maresca 'identifies £40m replacement' for Gallagher
7
Germany vs. Scotland - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Juventus 'showing interest' in versatile Arsenal defender
9
Argentina vs. Guatemala - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Transfer rumours: Abraham to West Ham, Silas to Fulham, Dubravka to Saudi Arabia
Sport News 24/7