Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Larsson (39'), Knauff (72')
Ngankam (11'), Max (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Beste (23'), Muller (29'), Mainka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Heidenheim

Although Frankfurt will understandably head into this match as favourites, the loss of Randal Kolo Muani to Paris Saint-Germain at the end of the summer transfer window has clearly hit them hard, and their results may suffer until the France forward is belatedly replaced in January. Heidenheim will be fresher and more confident having had no European involvements in midweek and beaten Union Berlin last time out, and we can envisage them returning home with another point to add to their growing tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Heidenheim
54.71% ( 0.33)	22.53% ( -0.14)	22.76% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 57.28% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72% (

0.43)

42.28% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.32% (

0.43)

64.68% (

-0.43)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.62% (

0.26)

15.38% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.82% (

0.49)

44.17% (

-0.49)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

0.08)

32.31% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.18% (

0.09)

68.81% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 54.71%

Heidenheim 22.76%

Draw 22.53%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.71%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.76%