La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
1 - 1
Cadiz

Boye (71')
Morente (9'), Gumbau (82'), Nwankwo (87'), Cheikh Diop (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Escalante (10')
Fede (18'), Iza (68'), Fali (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Elche
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche may be heading to the second tier, but they have taken seven points from their last three matches, and we think that they will pick up the victory against a Cadiz side that have lost three consecutive away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Cadiz
45.6% ( 1.54)	25.62% ( -0.6)	28.78% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 52.93% (

1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29% (

1.97)

50.71% (

-1.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.39% (

1.71)

72.61% (

-1.71)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

1.57)

22.21% (

-1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

2.31)

55.63% (

-2.31)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

0.32)

31.95% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

0.37)

68.41% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Elche 45.59%

Cadiz 28.78%

Draw 25.62%

Elche	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.59%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.78%