Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
35.88% ( 0.19) | 27.36% ( 0.06) | 36.76% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.18% ( -0.22) | 55.82% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.06% ( -0.18) | 76.94% ( 0.18) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% ( 0.01) | 29.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.2% ( 0.01) | 65.79% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( -0.26) | 29.19% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( -0.32) | 65.13% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |