Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 2
Lazio

Maldini (15'), Fazzini (45+1'), Bastoni (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guendouzi (9'), Zaccagni (67')
Patric (26'), Rovella (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio's poor form means while they may be slight favourites for this one, it could be a much closer outing than Sarri would prefer. Hosts Empoli are in the midst of a rut though, and while two of their three wins this season came against Fiorentina and Napoli, this will be a tough task, especially with Caputo potentially out injured. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Lazio
26.67% ( -0.25)	25.4% ( 0.05)	47.93% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.92% (

-0.37)

51.08% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.07% (

-0.33)

72.93% (

0.33)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22% (

-0.4)

33.78% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

-0.43)

70.44% (

0.43)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

-0.07)

21.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.72% (

-0.1)

54.28% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Empoli 26.67%

Lazio 47.93%

Draw 25.4%

Empoli	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.67%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.93%