EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
3 - 0
Burnley

Tarkowski (13'), Onana (53'), Young (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al Dakhil (29'), Kompany (30'), Vitinho (58')

The Match

Match Report

Everton secure their spot in the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 3-0 victory over fellow Premier League side Burnley at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Everton and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Everton
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Burnley
38.94% ( 0)	25.88% ( 0.01)	35.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.24% (

-0.06)

49.75% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

-0.05)

71.76% (

0.06)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

-0.03)

25.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

-0.04)

59.78% (

0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

-0.04)

27.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36% (

-0.05)

62.63% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Everton 38.94%

Burnley 35.18%

Draw 25.87%

Everton	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.18%