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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.02%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
85.02% ( 0.03) | 9.95% ( -0.02) | 5.02% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.3% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.41% ( 0.07) | 25.58% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.32% ( 0.09) | 45.68% ( -0.1) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.84% ( 0.02) | 4.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.63% ( 0.06) | 17.36% ( -0.06) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.39% ( 0.01) | 49.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.62% ( 0.01) | 84.38% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
3-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 7-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 85.02% | 1-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 9.95% | 1-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 5.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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