Eredivisie | 2nd Leg

Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
1 - 0
Sparta

(FC Twente win 2-1 on aggregate)

Brenet (53')
Pleguezuelo (45+2'), Brama (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sambo (47'), van Crooij (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 FC Twente
Thursday, June 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 FC Twente
Thursday, June 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam (FC Twente to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Following Thursday's stalemate, FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam have now played out three draws this season, although the Tukkers could – and probably should – have defeated De Kasteelheren last time out. Sunday's showdown looks destined to be another closely-fought battle, but we expect Twente to edge Sparta this time around, as the Pride of the East have won 16 of their 22 home games this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
60.28% ( 0.26)	20.62% ( 0.07)	19.1% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 58.19% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.59% (

-0.84)

38.4% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.3% (

-0.89)

60.69% (

0.89)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

-0.19)

12.38% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.75% (

-0.39)

38.25% (

0.39)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.83)

33.57% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.91)

70.22% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 60.28%

Sparta Rotterdam 19.1%

Draw 20.62%

FC Twente	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 60.28%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.1%