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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
47.75% ( 0.11) | 24.13% ( 0.01) | 28.12% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% ( -0.11) | 44.68% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( -0.11) | 67.04% ( 0.11) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( -0.01) | 18.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% ( -0.01) | 50.27% ( 0) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -0.14) | 29.32% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.7% ( -0.17) | 65.3% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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