UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 6pm UK

Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 1
FC Twente

(Fenerbahce win 6-1 on aggregate)

Oosterwolde (32'), Szymanski (60'), Kahveci (62', 74'), Tadic (90+3' pen.)
Can Egribayat (74'), Fred (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ugalde (20')
Ugalde (37')
Regeer (43')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fenerbahce and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 FC Twente

Neither side have shown many faults whatsoever during the early weeks of the season, undoubtedly helped by starting competitive games earlier than other teams. On this particular occasion, we expect Fenerbahce to edge an entertaining tussle, but Twente keeping themselves in the tie ahead of the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 38.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	FC Twente
38.92%	22.82%	38.26%

Both teams to score 66.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.12%

34.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.14%

56.86%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45%

18.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.19%

49.81%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15%

18.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7%

50.3%

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 38.92%

FC Twente 38.26%

Draw 22.82%

Fenerbahce	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.92%	1-1 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.5% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.6% Total : 38.26%