Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
56.43% ( 1.19) | 23.96% ( -0.07) | 19.61% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( -1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.92% ( -1.05) | 52.08% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.19% ( -0.92) | 73.81% ( 0.92) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% ( 0.05) | 18.29% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.63% ( 0.09) | 49.37% ( -0.09) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.01% ( -1.8) | 40.99% ( 1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.45% ( -1.65) | 77.55% ( 1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.42% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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