Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Sassuolo

Sottil (17'), Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (58', 66'), Barak (62')
Martinez (32'), Comuzzo (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorstvedt (57')
Ruan (13'), Thorstvedt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 Lecce
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Sassuolo

While Sassuolo's defence is particularly suspect on the road, their hosts have the disappointment of a cup exit to deal with, plus a European semi-final on the radar; Fiorentina's lack of focus could help the Neroverdi pick up a precious point in their fight to avoid the drop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Sassuolo
63.68% ( -0.02)	20.06% ( 0)	16.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.3% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.24% (

0.01)

40.76% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.86% (

0.01)

63.14% (

-0.01)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.85% (

-0)

12.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.24% (

-0.01)

37.76% (

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.82% (

0.02)

38.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

0.02)

74.94% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 63.67%

Sassuolo 16.26%

Draw 20.06%

Fiorentina	Draw	Sassuolo
2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.67%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.06%	1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.26%