Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
73.3% ( 0.1) | 16.62% ( -0.16) | 10.08% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.12% ( 0.9) | 39.87% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.76% ( 0.92) | 62.23% ( -0.93) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.55% ( 0.25) | 9.44% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.28% ( 0.6) | 31.71% ( -0.6) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.79% ( 0.7) | 47.2% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.36% ( 0.52) | 82.64% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 73.29% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.62% | 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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