Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
We said: France 3-1 Chile
France will be fully expectant of a win to make up for Saturday's defeat, even though Chile appear to be a side improving under new management.
A fine attacking performance against an often resolute Albania was a big positive, and Chile should provide a threat but may come undone given the quality of the French.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 65.29% . A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Chile had a probability of 13.67% .
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.16%) . The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result France Draw Chile 65.29% ( -0.02) 21.03% ( -0) 13.67% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.82% ( 0.06)
49.87% ( 0.05) 50.12% ( -0.05)
27.91% ( 0.05) 72.09% ( -0.05)
85.41% ( 0.01) 14.59% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.33% ( 0.02) 42.67% ( -0.02)
52.48% ( 0.07) 47.51% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.12% ( 0.05) 82.87% ( -0.05)
France 65.29%
Chile 13.67%
Draw 21.03%
France Draw Chile 1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 65.29% 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.03% 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.67%
How you voted: France vs Chile
69
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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