Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
5 - 0
Olympiacos

Gregoritsch (3', 8', 36'), Sildillia (42'), Doan (77')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Hezze (34'), Retsos (57'), Iborra (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Olympiacos 3-1 Panetolikos
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Olympiacos

Following the five-goal thriller between these two teams in Greece two months ago, another entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be in store on Thursday. The onus is on Olympiacos to take the game to Freiburg and push them all the way in their quest to claim maximum points, but we believe that the hosts will ultimately do enough to secure a slender victory and book their place in the knockout rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Olympiacos
39.59% ( -0.01)	27.06% ( -0.01)	33.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.38% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.11% (

0.03)

54.89% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.82% (

0.02)

76.18% (

-0.02)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89% (

0.01)

27.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51% (

0.01)

62.5% (

-0.01)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

0.02)

30.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.83% (

0.03)

67.18% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 39.59%

Olympiacos 33.35%

Draw 27.06%

Freiburg	Draw	Olympiacos
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.59%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.35%