Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Wolfsburg

Freiburg have suffered a hugely disappointing couple of weeks, losing both of their crucial top-four battles as well as being dumped out of the DFB-Pokal, and it will be difficult for them to put aside any lingering negative energy on Friday. As such, we can envisage Wolfsburg gaining a positive result from this meeting, although it may not be the victory that they require to remain in pole position to claim sixth place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
43.57% ( -0)	24.55% ( -0)	31.88% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.13% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.34% (

0.01)

44.65% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

0.01)

67.01% (

-0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

20.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.86% (

0.01)

53.14% (

-0.01)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.01)

26.78% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

0.01)

62.06% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 43.57%

Wolfsburg 31.88%

Draw 24.55%

Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.07% 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.57%	1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.88%