Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
2 - 1
Genoa

Soule (34'), Monterisi (90+4')
Oyono (58'), Jesus (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Malinovskyi (38')
Vogliacco (6'), Gilardino (22'), Sabelli (29'), Frendrup (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Many of Genoa's recent fixtures have been cagey affairs, and with not much to separate the sides, another could be in store. Frosinone have been excellent at home this season and will be confident of keeping their unbeaten run going here, even if they are unable to find all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Genoa
47.2% ( 0.2)	25.77% ( 0.05)	27.03% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.68% (

-0.38)

52.31% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98% (

-0.33)

74.01% (

0.32)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

-0.07)

22.16% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44% (

-0.1)

55.55% (

0.09)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.84% (

-0.41)

34.15% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.15% (

-0.44)

70.84% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 47.19%

Genoa 27.03%

Draw 25.76%

Frosinone	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.03%