Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Dragusin (45+7')
Gilardino (56'), Gudmundsson (66'), Dragusin (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arnautovic (42')
Barella (77'), Mkhitaryan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Genoa 1-2 Inter Milan

Although Genoa have proven tough to beat at Marasssi, there is simply no stopping Serie A leaders Inter, who are set to confirm their status as 'Winter Champions' by claiming maximum points in Liguria. Even a handful of injuries cannot derail Simone Inzaghi's impressive squad, who will end a memorable year in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Inter Milan
27.52% ( -0.82)	26.6% ( 0)	45.89% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 49.14% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77% (

-0.45)

55.23% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54% (

-0.37)

76.46% (

0.37)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

-0.89)

35.32% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

-0.94)

72.08% (

0.94)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98% (

0.19)

24.02% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72% (

0.28)

58.28% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Genoa 27.52%

Inter Milan 45.89%

Draw 26.59%

Genoa	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.52%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.89%