Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Badelj (56'), Kumbulla (63' og.)
Thorsby (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pinamonti (31' pen.)
Obiang (50'), Doig (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 3-3 Genoa
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Sassuolo may be buoyed by last weekend's win over the Serie A champions, they are not expected to follow it up with success at Genoa, who have avoided losing at the Marassi to any of the struggling sides, with their home defeats against Fiorentina, Milan, Atalanta, Monza and Lazio. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Sassuolo
52.28% ( -0.36)	23.76% ( 0.22)	23.96% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.57% (

-0.8)

46.43% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

-0.76)

68.71% (

0.76)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26% (

-0.43)

17.74% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.58% (

-0.76)

48.42% (

0.76)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

-0.31)

33.54% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

-0.34)

70.18% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Genoa 52.28%

Sassuolo 23.96%

Draw 23.76%

Genoa	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.28%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.96%