Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2023 at 5pm UK

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Georgia
1 - 7
Spain

Chakvetadze (49')
Aburjania (45+2'), Kashia (50'), Kiteishvili (60'), Chakvetadze (63'), Kvaratskhelia (82')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Morata (22', 40', 66'), Kverkvelia (27' og.), Olmo (38'), Williams (68'), Yamal (74')
Gavi (45+1'), Zubimendi (79')

Barcelona wonderkid Lamine Yamal breaks two Spain records in thumping win

Lamine Yamal became Spain's youngest-ever player and goalscorer during Friday evening's thumping 7-1 win over Georgia in La Roja's third Euro 2024 qualification match.

Sep 9, 09:40

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship qualifying clash between Georgia and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Friday's Euro 2024 qualification fixture with Georgia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Georgia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	4	8	12
2	Georgia	3	-1	4
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Spain	2	1	3
5	Cyprus	3	-6	0

Spain

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Croatia 0-0 Spain (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, June 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	4	8	12
2	Georgia	3	-1	4
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Spain	2	1	3
5	Cyprus	3	-6	0

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Spain, and we are expecting Georgia to cause some problems during the course of the match. La Roja will be able to call upon the greater talent all across the pitch, though, and we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Georgia	Draw	Spain
32.95% ( 0.01)	27.8% ( -0.01)	39.25% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.23% (

0.03)

57.77% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.49% (

0.02)

78.51% (

-0.02)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38% (

0.02)

32.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.84% (

0.02)

69.16% (

-0.02)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

0.02)

28.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

0.02)

64.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Georgia 32.95%

Spain 39.25%

Draw 27.79%

Georgia	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.95%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.25%