Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 42.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 28.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Hapoel Tel Aviv
42.03% ( -0.39)	29.08% ( 0.29)	28.89% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 43.17% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.81% (

-0.89)

63.19% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.39% (

-0.65)

82.6% (

0.65)

Hapoel Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-0.66)

29.73% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

-0.81)

65.79% (

0.81)

Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43% (

-0.42)

38.56% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69% (

-0.4)

75.31% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Jerusalem 42.02%

Hapoel Tel Aviv 28.89%

Draw 29.07%

Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Hapoel Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.07%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.89%